Publications

CSIS Commentary by Erol Yayboke & Nickolas Wilcox The United States has repeatedly proven its ability to execute decisive kinetic strikes. Adversaries understand this, which is why they increasingly avoid conventional confrontation. Instead, they operate in the space of irregular warfare: leveraging autonomous systems, conducting cyber and infrastructure attacks, and directing cognitive campaigns shaped by AI-driven narratives aimed at influencing populations and undermining

With the Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group now in the Caribbean, U.S. strategy toward Venezuela needs more than kinetic options. Maduro's deep unpopularity and repressive crackdowns create opportunities in the information space. Using agentic AI to understand local sentiment, curate Venezuela-specific sources, and deploy strategically timed content can apply pressure while limiting risk to civilians—a smarter approach than military intervention alone.

From The Active Measures Newsletter Podcast with Jim Ludes and Mark Jacobson This week, hosts Jim Ludes and Mark Jacobson welcome Erol Yayboke of CSIS and FilterLabs.AI for a conversation about the potential of agentic artificial intelligence to contribute to effective and even ethical offensive information operations. Listen to the full podcast episo de here .

Emperor Augustus Caesar pioneered the effective use of propaganda in ancient Rome. As the grandnephew and successor to Julius, Augustus leveraged information to consolidate power and further ideals of peace and stability, known as the Pax Romana . What made Augustus effective was his ability to create messages that resonated; what made him a pioneer was his ability to time and target the messaging. With the advent of AI tools, the United States finds itself at the start of a

This CSIS report examines how developing countries can leverage innovation and technology for economic growth amid the "fourth industrial revolution." Two-thirds of developing country jobs face automation risk. Nearly half of developing nations now have science/technology/innovation strategies. The US should partner with these countries using its universities, research, and diaspora networks—creating future markets while solving global challenges through expanded innovation c